Boston University
W-L: ( 8- 6) PR = 94.6807Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 A Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 98.6) 6-13 206 H Siena MAAC (12- 5, 90.4) 23- 7 215 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 4- 9, 93.2) 13- 5 221 A Yale Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.8) 11-16 228 H Navy Patriot ( 7- 7, 94.0) 15-10 307 A Lehigh Patriot ( 8- 8, 94.7) 14-13 314 H Army West Point Patriot (13- 3, 98.0) 10- 8 321 A Colgate Patriot ( 6- 9, 93.0) 12-14 324 H Harvard Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.7) 11-14 404 A Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 11-19 411 H Bucknell Patriot ( 8- 7, 91.9) 13-12 418 H Lafayette Patriot ( 5- 9, 90.6) 13- 2 424 A Holy Cross (MA) Patriot ( 6- 8, 90.3) 18-12 428 H Lehigh Patriot ( 8- 8, 94.7) 15-16
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 A Syracuse 6-13 -7 -5 -1.66
206 H Siena 23- 7 16 6 1.35
215 H Dartmouth 13- 5 8 3 ++ 4.10
221 A Yale 11-16 -5 -4 -1.48
228 H Navy 15-10 5 2 + 2.93
307 A Lehigh 14-13 1 -1 + 2.43
314 H Army West Point 10- 8 2 -2 + 3.98
321 A Colgate 12-14 -2 0 - -2.31
324 H Harvard 11-14 -3 -1 - -2.40
404 A Loyola 11-19 -8 -1 -- -5.99
411 H Bucknell 13-12 1 4 - -3.14
418 H Lafayette 13- 2 11 5 1.55
424 A Holy Cross (MA) 18-12 6 3 + 2.96
428 H Lehigh 15-16 -1 1 - -2.32
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Loyola 11-19 -8 -1 -- -5.99 321 A Colgate 12-14 -2 0 - -2.31 324 H Harvard 11-14 -3 -1 - -2.40 411 H Bucknell 13-12 1 4 - -3.14 428 H Lehigh 15-16 -1 1 - -2.32 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H Dartmouth 13- 5 8 3 ++ 4.10 228 H Navy 15-10 5 2 + 2.93 307 A Lehigh 14-13 1 -1 + 2.43 314 H Army West Point 10- 8 2 -2 + 3.98 424 A Holy Cross (MA) 18-12 6 3 + 2.96 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Syracuse (11- 5, 98.6) 6-13 -1.26 19.34 1.38 1.02 -0.06
0 H Siena (12- 5, 90.4) 23- 7 -9.50 11.10 -1.38 1.02 19.88
0 H Dartmouth ( 4- 9, 93.2) 13- 5 -6.75 13.85 -1.38 1.02 25.51
0 A Yale ( 9- 5, 96.8) 11-16 -3.07 17.52 1.38 1.02 -0.87
0 H Navy ( 7- 7, 94.0) 15-10 -5.91 14.69 -1.38 1.02 27.21
0 A Lehigh ( 8- 8, 94.7) 14-13 -5.16 15.43 1.38 1.02 34.37
0 H Army West Poin (13- 3, 98.0) 10- 8 -1.86 18.74 -1.38 1.02 35.50
0 A Colgate ( 6- 9, 93.0) 12-14 -6.90 13.70 1.38 1.02 -2.83
0 H Harvard ( 9- 5, 96.7) 11-14 -3.24 17.35 -1.38 1.02 -2.36
0 A Loyola (10- 6, 94.3) 11-19 -5.58 15.02 1.38 1.02 -2.15
0 H Bucknell ( 8- 7, 91.9) 13-12 -7.99 12.61 -1.38 1.02 22.97
0 H Lafayette ( 5- 9, 90.6) 13- 2 -9.29 11.30 -1.38 1.02 20.30
0 A Holy Cross (MA ( 6- 8, 90.3) 18-12 -9.63 10.97 1.38 1.02 25.23
0 H Lehigh ( 8- 8, 94.7) 15-16 -5.16 15.43 -1.38 1.02 -3.34
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199.36
|
winning pts = 210.9717 losing points = -11.6078
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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